Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-09 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 56.3%
ANA: 43.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.69
ANA: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA
| Stat | STL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.87 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Joel Hofer | 23 | 21 | 2 | 91.3% | 2.17 | 1 | 0.17 |
| ANA | Lukas Dostal | 34 | 28 | 6 | 82.4% | 3.06 | 1 | -2.94 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • STL at home vs ANA: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | ANA 2 - 6 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2026-03-08 | ANA 0 - 4 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2025-12-01 | STL 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | STL |
| 2025-03-16 | STL 7 - 2 ANA | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-07 | ANA 3 - 4 STL | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 21 | 0 | 1.39 |
| 1 | ANA | 9 | 1 | 0.93 |
| 2 | STL | 12 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 2 | ANA | 15 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 3 | STL | 12 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | ANA | 11 | 0 | 0.54 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.7 - 3.0
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