Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-01-10 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 0 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CAR: 75.7%

VAN: 24.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.59

VAN: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

CAR

D. Tokarski

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	D. Tokarski	14	14	0	100.0%	1.55	0	1.55
VAN	Thatcher Demko	20	18	2	90.0%	2.63	4	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	0.68
1	VAN	11	0	0.44
2	CAR	9	0	0.65
2	VAN	12	0	0.42
3	CAR	12	3	1.30
3	VAN	11	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 0 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.4