Seattle Kraken at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 56.8%

SEA: 43.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.65

SEA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	24	0	0.92
1	SEA	9	0	0.57
2	BUF	16	1	0.98
2	SEA	22	0	0.97
3	BUF	16	0	0.52
3	SEA	12	2	1.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.7 - 3.1