Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

CHI: 21.4%

EDM: 78.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.02

EDM: 4.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CHI at home vs EDM: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	0.48
1	EDM	15	0	0.80
2	CHI	8	0	0.26
2	EDM	23	3	2.63
3	CHI	10	1	0.98
3	EDM	13	2	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.0 - 4.8