Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-01-11 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 39.9%
COL: 60.1%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.63
COL: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 4.3
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 18%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | WPG | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | COL |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.6 - 2.9
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