Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 31.9%

COL: 68.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.46

COL: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	0.73
1	COL	19	0	0.76
2	WPG	16	0	1.19
2	COL	6	0	0.27
3	WPG	8	1	0.98
3	COL	12	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.5 - 3.2