Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 59.3%

WSH: 40.7%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.03

WSH: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	WSH 4 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-11	NSH 3 - 2 WSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-11	NSH 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	NSH
2024-11-06	WSH 3 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2023-12-30	WSH 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	1	1.26
1	WSH	6	0	0.22
2	NSH	18	0	1.17
2	WSH	10	0	0.68
3	NSH	16	1	1.03
3	WSH	13	2	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8