New York Islanders at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 57.7%

NYI: 42.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.32

NYI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs NYI: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	NYI 2 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-14	UTA 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	UTA
2025-01-11	UTA 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	UTA
2024-10-10	NYI 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	7	0	0.14
1	NYI	17	1	1.16
2	UTA	15	0	1.19
2	NYI	7	0	0.51
3	UTA	12	0	0.71
3	NYI	16	3	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9