Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

CGY: 56.6%

LAK: 43.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.11

LAK: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	9	0	0.79
1	LAK	18	1	1.44
2	CGY	12	0	0.69
2	LAK	10	0	0.46
3	CGY	13	0	0.99
3	LAK	13	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1