Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-01-11 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 34.5%
MIN: 65.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.42
MIN: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | SJS | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs MIN: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 04:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 17:30 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.4 - 3.5
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