Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-01-12 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

DET: 61.9%

SEA: 38.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 4.21

SEA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	33	31	2	93.9%	1.91	1	-0.09
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	17	6	73.9%	2.30	1	-3.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-18	DET 4 - 2 SEA	DET	SEA
2025-02-04	SEA 4 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-12	DET 6 - 2 SEA	DET	DET
2024-02-19	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	0.77
1	SEA	16	0	0.88
2	DET	15	1	1.07
2	SEA	11	0	0.41
3	DET	8	0	0.46
3	SEA	15	1	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 4.2 - 3.1