Anaheim Ducks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-01-12 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (78% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 78.0%
ANA: 22.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.95
ANA: 2.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | CAR 5 - 2 ANA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-16 | ANA 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-23 | ANA 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-12 | CAR 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CAR |
| 2024-01-11 | CAR 6 - 3 ANA | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 15 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 1 | ANA | 8 | 2 | 0.90 |
| 2 | CAR | 19 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 2 | ANA | 7 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 3 | CAR | 21 | 2 | 1.65 |
| 3 | ANA | 10 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 4 | CAR | 1 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 4 | ANA | 2 | 0 | 0.11 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 78.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.9 - 2.1
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