Anaheim Ducks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-01-12 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 62.5%
ANA: 37.5%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.73
ANA: 2.13
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 22%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | CAR | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | CAR 5 - 2 ANA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-16 | ANA 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-23 | ANA 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-12 | CAR 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CAR |
| 2024-01-11 | CAR 6 - 3 ANA | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:35 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:18 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:48 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:04 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 01:52 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.7 - 2.1
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