Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-01-12 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

VGK: 61.1%

MIN: 38.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.56

MIN: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VGK at home vs MIN: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	1	1.18
1	MIN	10	0	0.69
2	VGK	25	2	2.07
2	MIN	14	0	0.86
3	VGK	14	1	1.30
3	MIN	4	1	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7