Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-01-13 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PHI: 50.6%

FLA: 49.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.00

FLA: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs FLA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	9	0	0.50
1	FLA	10	1	0.84
2	PHI	15	0	0.96
2	FLA	8	0	0.45
3	PHI	10	2	1.30
3	FLA	13	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1