Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-01-13 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 57.9%

LAK: 42.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.32

LAK: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	30	30	0	100.0%	2.21	0	2.21
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	30	29	1	96.7%	3.36	2	2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	9	0	0.64
1	LAK	17	0	0.94
2	EDM	17	0	1.24
2	LAK	10	0	0.55
3	EDM	18	2	1.49
3	LAK	14	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7