Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-01-14 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 52.7%
TBL: 47.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.39
TBL: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 7.4
Over 5.5: 79%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | BOS | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs TBL: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | BOS 1 - 2 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-04-04 | TBL 3 - 1 BOS | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-02-01 | TBL 6 - 5 BOS | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-13 | BOS 3 - 4 TBL | TBL | BOS |
| 2025-03-15 | BOS 2 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:24 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 09:31 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:13 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:05 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 08:50 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:42 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:30 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:56 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1
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