Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.7%

FLA: 39.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.13

FLA: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.68
1	FLA	8	0	0.20
2	NJD	11	2	0.90
2	FLA	18	0	0.58
3	NJD	12	0	0.85
3	FLA	16	1	1.01
4	NJD	4	0	0.31
4	FLA	3	0	0.21
5	NJD	3	1	0.93
5	FLA	3	2	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8