Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

WSH: 61.1%

ANA: 38.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.53

ANA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs ANA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	WSH 7 - 4 ANA	WSH	ANA
2025-12-05	ANA 4 - 3 WSH	ANA	WSH
2025-03-11	ANA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-01-14	WSH 3 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH
2024-01-16	WSH 2 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	20	1	1.54
1	ANA	11	0	0.53
2	WSH	15	0	0.79
2	ANA	8	0	0.47
3	WSH	13	0	1.02
3	ANA	13	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0