Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.9%

PHI: 49.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.05

PHI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

PHI

Ivan Fedotov - 6-13-4 | 0.880 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	25	23	2	92.0%	2.60	0	0.60
PHI	Ivan Fedotov	31	27	4	87.1%	4.50	3	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CBJ at home vs PHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PHI 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2026-03-14	PHI 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2026-01-28	CBJ 5 - 3 PHI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-15	PHI 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2025-01-14	CBJ 3 - 2 PHI	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.70
1	PHI	15	0	0.75
2	CBJ	12	1	0.72
2	PHI	11	0	0.73
3	CBJ	12	0	0.97
3	PHI	16	0	0.86
4	CBJ	3	0	0.22
4	PHI	1	0	0.07
5	CBJ	3	2	1.89
5	PHI	2	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0