Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NYI: 45.9%

OTT: 54.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.26

OTT: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	12	0	0.42
1	OTT	10	0	0.47
2	NYI	15	0	0.37
2	OTT	12	1	0.82
3	NYI	10	0	0.45
3	OTT	17	2	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0