Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-14 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 62.6%
CGY: 37.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.36
CGY: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | CGY 2 - 1 STL | CGY | STL |
| 2025-11-11 | STL 3 - 2 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-11 | CGY 2 - 4 STL | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-16 | STL 4 - 1 CGY | STL | CGY |
| 2025-01-14 | STL 2 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 12 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 1 | CGY | 13 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 2 | STL | 17 | 0 | 1.16 |
| 2 | CGY | 17 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 3 | STL | 11 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 3 | CGY | 14 | 0 | 0.69 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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