Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 50.0%

VGK: 50.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.07

VGK: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs VGK: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	1	1.52
1	VGK	3	0	0.11
2	NSH	13	0	0.86
2	VGK	11	0	0.73
3	NSH	5	4	1.74
3	VGK	20	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4