New York Rangers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

COL: 68.9%

NYR: 31.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.10

NYR: 2.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	NYR 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-11-20	COL 6 - 3 NYR	COL	COL
2025-01-26	NYR 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-14	COL 3 - 2 NYR	COL	COL
2024-03-28	COL 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	7	0	0.60
1	NYR	17	1	1.41
2	COL	19	0	0.85
2	NYR	13	0	0.85
3	COL	16	1	1.28
3	NYR	8	0	0.58
4	COL	3	0	0.32
4	NYR	9	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.1 - 2.3