Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-01-15 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

BUF: 52.8%

CAR: 47.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.10

CAR: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • BUF at home vs CAR: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	BUF
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	17	1	1.21
1	CAR	14	0	0.64
2	BUF	20	0	1.17
2	CAR	27	1	1.18
3	BUF	3	2	1.60
3	CAR	22	2	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0