Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-01-16 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 66.1%

DET: 33.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.80

DET: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • FLA at home vs DET: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	20	0	0.94
1	DET	8	0	0.33
2	FLA	13	1	0.97
2	DET	12	0	0.87
3	FLA	29	1	1.86
3	DET	7	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9