Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-01-16 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 61.7%
DET: 38.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.56
DET: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | FLA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.942 | 0.846 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • FLA at home vs DET: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | FLA 8 - 1 DET | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-10 | FLA 4 - 3 DET | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-06 | DET 1 - 3 FLA | FLA | DET |
| 2025-10-15 | DET 4 - 1 FLA | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-10 | FLA 4 - 1 DET | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:48 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 11:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:52 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:21 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:44 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 15:41 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8
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