Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-01-16 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NYI: 43.8%

PHI: 56.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.91

PHI: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYI at home vs PHI: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	0	0.76
1	PHI	13	0	0.92
2	NYI	12	0	0.37
2	PHI	22	0	1.97
3	NYI	22	1	1.28
3	PHI	5	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1