Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-16 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 46.7%

CGY: 53.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.12

CGY: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	23	0	1.24
1	CGY	12	0	0.42
2	STL	13	1	0.92
2	CGY	28	0	1.18
3	STL	11	0	1.35
3	CGY	10	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2