Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-01-16 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 65.7%
CHI: 34.3%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.78
CHI: 2.43
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
CHI
Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA
| Stat | NSH | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.873 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 4.02 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 28 | 25 | 3 | 89.3% | 2.93 | 1 | -0.07 |
| CHI | Arvid Soderblom | 44 | 39 | 5 | 88.6% | 6.77 | 4 | 1.77 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • NSH at home vs CHI: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CHI 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | CHI |
| 2026-02-26 | NSH 4 - 2 CHI | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-10 | NSH 0 - 3 CHI | CHI | NSH |
| 2025-11-28 | CHI 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-08 | NSH 3 - 2 CHI | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 10 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 1 | CHI | 12 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 2 | NSH | 19 | 0 | 1.29 |
| 2 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | NSH | 20 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 3 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 4 | NSH | 6 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 4 | CHI | 3 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 5 | NSH | 3 | 3 | 2.69 |
| 5 | CHI | 2 | 1 | 0.91 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.4
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