New York Rangers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-16 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 61.9%

NYR: 38.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.62

NYR: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs NYR: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	NYR 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-22	UTA 3 - 2 NYR	UTA	UTA
2025-01-16	UTA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	UTA
2024-10-12	NYR 5 - 6 UTA	UTA	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	22	2	1.67
1	NYR	13	0	0.75
2	UTA	15	0	0.77
2	NYR	11	0	0.63
3	UTA	11	0	0.70
3	NYR	15	5	3.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9