Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-16 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 47.8%
EDM: 52.2%
Expected Goals
COL: 2.75
EDM: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | COL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • COL at home vs EDM: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | EDM 1 - 2 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-10 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2025-11-08 | EDM 1 - 9 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-02-07 | EDM 4 - 5 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:17 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:04 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:48 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:18 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:17 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:49 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:05 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0
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