Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-01-16 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

VAN: 40.7%

LAK: 59.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.59

LAK: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 35%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	21	16	5	76.2%	2.43	2	-2.57
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	21	20	1	95.2%	1.78	1	0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VAN at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	VAN 4 - 3 LAK	VAN	LAK
2026-04-09	LAK 4 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2026-03-26	VAN 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-11-29	LAK 2 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2025-02-26	LAK 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	0.79
1	LAK	8	0	0.63
2	VAN	12	1	0.80
2	LAK	14	1	1.09
3	VAN	8	0	0.20
3	LAK	11	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.6 - 2.9