Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-01-17 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

CAR: 60.5%

VGK: 39.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.30

VGK: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs VGK: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	10	0	0.37
1	VGK	21	1	1.83
2	CAR	26	3	2.02
2	VGK	9	2	0.81
3	CAR	10	0	0.67
3	VGK	15	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9