Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NJD: 47.8%

PHI: 52.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.12

PHI: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	7	0	0.37
1	PHI	9	0	0.27
2	NJD	9	1	0.98
2	PHI	13	2	0.95
3	NJD	10	0	0.54
3	PHI	12	2	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3