Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 6 - 5 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

OTT: 57.1%

BOS: 42.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 4.84

BOS: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • OTT at home vs BOS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	28	2	2.26
1	BOS	10	0	0.74
2	OTT	13	0	0.36
2	BOS	13	1	0.80
3	OTT	23	0	1.63
3	BOS	10	1	0.97
4	OTT	3	0	0.26
4	BOS	2	0	0.25
5	OTT	3	1	0.99
5	BOS	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 8.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 6 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 4.8 - 3.4