Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

COL: 58.5%

DAL: 41.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.29

DAL: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • COL at home vs DAL: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	DAL 0 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-18	COL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	COL
2026-03-06	DAL 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-11	COL 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-05-03	DAL 4 - 2 COL	DAL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	1	1.04
1	DAL	13	0	0.42
2	COL	23	1	1.66
2	DAL	19	1	1.73
3	COL	11	0	0.72
3	DAL	16	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 4.3 - 2.8