Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

TBL: 63.7%

DET: 36.3%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.50

DET: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 52%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TBL at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	TBL 4 - 3 DET	TBL	TBL
2026-03-12	TBL 4 - 1 DET	TBL	TBL
2025-11-28	DET 3 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-10-17	DET 2 - 1 TBL	DET	DET
2025-04-11	TBL 3 - 4 DET	DET	TBL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:02	TBL	Goal
2	00:16	TBL	Goal
2	01:50	TBL	Goal
2	03:58	TBL	Goal
2	14:12	TBL	Goal
2	15:06	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9