Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-01-18 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 49.2%
CGY: 50.8%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.05
CGY: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 4.3
Over 5.5: 34%
Over 6.5: 22%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | WPG | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.940 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • WPG at home vs CGY: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | CGY 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-24 | WPG 5 - 3 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-20 | CGY 1 - 2 WPG | WPG | CGY |
| 2025-01-26 | WPG 5 - 2 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-18 | WPG 1 - 3 CGY | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:32 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 15:14 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 02:15 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:55 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 2.5
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