San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

NYI: 55.5%

SJS: 44.5%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.38

SJS: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYI at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	0	0.99
1	SJS	7	0	0.13
2	NYI	21	2	2.15
2	SJS	11	1	0.83
3	NYI	13	0	0.41
3	SJS	14	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9