Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 47.9%

VGK: 52.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.22

VGK: 3.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs VGK: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-02-27	VGK 7 - 5 CHI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	19	2	1.87
1	VGK	12	0	0.74
2	CHI	6	0	0.34
2	VGK	23	0	1.55
3	CHI	8	0	0.87
3	VGK	16	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.9