St. Louis Blues at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

UTA: 61.3%

STL: 38.7%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.27

STL: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	24	22	2	91.7%	2.40	2	0.40
STL	Jordan Binnington	33	29	4	87.9%	2.59	3	-1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • UTA at home vs STL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	UTA 3 - 5 STL	STL	UTA
2026-01-09	UTA 4 - 2 STL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-29	STL 1 - 0 UTA	STL	UTA
2025-10-23	STL 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-15	STL 6 - 1 UTA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	2	1.04
1	STL	9	0	0.19
2	UTA	13	1	1.25
2	STL	15	2	1.25
3	UTA	8	0	0.31
3	STL	16	0	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8