Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 45.0%

EDM: 55.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.87

EDM: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	18	2	1.72
1	EDM	13	0	0.62
2	VAN	10	1	0.42
2	EDM	9	0	0.44
3	VAN	8	0	0.23
3	EDM	9	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2