Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-18 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 31.7%

LAK: 68.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.84

LAK: 3.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 35%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	30	28	2	93.3%	2.46	0	0.46
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	22	18	4	81.8%	3.43	4	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs LAK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	SEA 3 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-02-04	LAK 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-23	LAK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-10	SEA 3 - 2 LAK	SEA	LAK
2025-04-15	SEA 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	23	1	1.35
1	LAK	14	0	0.89
2	SEA	9	1	0.69
2	LAK	10	0	0.59
3	SEA	5	2	1.39
3	LAK	27	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.8 - 4.0