Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-01-19 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 57.2%

OTT: 42.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.68

OTT: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 48%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NJD	26	1.17
1	OTT	4	0.17
2	NJD	8	0.50
2	OTT	17	1.27
3	NJD	6	0.27
3	OTT	12	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.7 - 3.0