New York Rangers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-01-19 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 65.6%
NYR: 34.4%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.53
NYR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | MTL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.837 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • MTL at home vs NYR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | NYR 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-13 | NYR 5 - 4 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-10-18 | MTL 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-19 | MTL 5 - 4 NYR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-11-30 | NYR 4 - 3 MTL | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:17 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 13:52 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:38 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:07 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:24 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:52 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 03:20 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.5 - 3.0
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