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2025-26 Season Live

New York Rangers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-01-19 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
MTL: 65.6%
NYR: 34.4%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.53
NYR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 59%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
StatMTLNYR
Season SV%0.8890.910
Last 5 SV%0.8910.912
SV% vs Opponent0.837
GAA3.012.51
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • MTL at home vs NYR: 2-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-02NYR 2 - 3 MTLMTLMTL
2025-12-13NYR 5 - 4 MTLNYRNYR
2025-10-18MTL 3 - 4 NYRNYRNYR
2025-01-19MTL 5 - 4 NYRMTLMTL
2024-11-30NYR 4 - 3 MTLNYRNYR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
111:17NYRGoal
113:52MTLGoal
114:38NYRGoal
205:07MTLGoal
210:24NYRGoal
215:05MTLGoal
216:20NYRGoal
312:52MTLGoal
403:20MTLGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.5 - 3.0