Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-20 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 45.3%

BUF: 54.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.15

BUF: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	2	1.17
1	BUF	16	0	0.64
2	SEA	18	0	1.01
2	BUF	18	0	1.09
3	SEA	16	3	1.88
3	BUF	18	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3