Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-01-20 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 45.6%
BUF: 54.4%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.38
BUF: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | SEA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs BUF: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | BUF 3 - 2 SEA | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-14 | SEA 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | SEA |
| 2025-01-20 | SEA 6 - 4 BUF | SEA | BUF |
| 2025-01-11 | BUF 2 - 6 SEA | SEA | BUF |
| 2024-03-18 | SEA 2 - 6 BUF | BUF | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 05:34 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 11:06 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:41 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:31 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:38 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:34 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 10:25 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:39 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:56 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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