St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-01-20 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 54.9%

STL: 45.1%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.42

STL: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs STL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	VGK 4 - 2 STL	VGK	VGK
2026-01-02	STL 4 - 3 VGK	STL	VGK
2025-11-15	STL 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-23	STL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-20	VGK 4 - 5 STL	STL	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	08:25	STL	Goal
1	14:09	VGK	Goal
1	19:43	STL	Goal
2	06:31	STL	Goal
2	07:25	STL	Goal
2	19:29	STL	Goal
3	16:50	STL	Goal
3	19:30	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9