Winnipeg Jets at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-20 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

UTA: 66.7%

WPG: 33.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.55

WPG: 2.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	25	23	2	92.0%	2.01	1	0.01
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	28	23	5	82.1%	2.74	1	-2.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • UTA at home vs WPG: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	UTA 5 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-12-21	UTA 4 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-10-26	WPG 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	WPG
2025-04-05	UTA 4 - 1 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-01-24	WPG 5 - 2 UTA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	0	0.59
1	WPG	18	0	1.03
2	UTA	18	0	0.90
2	WPG	12	1	0.66
3	UTA	11	1	1.25
3	WPG	12	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.6 - 2.4