Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-01-20 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 55.4%

PIT: 44.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.65

PIT: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • LAK at home vs PIT: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.32
1	PIT	21	1	1.64
2	LAK	20	0	0.84
2	PIT	10	0	0.61
3	LAK	16	0	0.71
3	PIT	15	1	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2