Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-01-21 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 0 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 54.0%
OTT: 46.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.35
OTT: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NYR | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs OTT: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | NYR 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-01-14 | NYR 4 - 8 OTT | OTT | NYR |
| 2025-12-04 | OTT 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | OTT |
| 2025-03-08 | OTT 4 - 3 NYR | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-01-21 | NYR 5 - 0 OTT | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:48 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:50 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:34 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:01 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:57 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 0 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.