Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-01-21 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

PHI: 64.7%

DET: 35.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.36

DET: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs DET: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	DET 6 - 3 PHI	DET	PHI
2026-04-02	PHI 2 - 4 DET	DET	PHI
2026-03-28	DET 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-01-21	PHI 2 - 1 DET	PHI	PHI
2024-12-18	DET 6 - 4 PHI	DET	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	11	1	0.84
1	DET	10	0	0.26
2	PHI	9	1	0.83
2	DET	11	0	0.47
3	PHI	17	0	0.87
3	DET	16	1	0.80
4	PHI	5	1	0.37
4	DET	3	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8