San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-01-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 7 - 5 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

NSH: 62.4%

SJS: 37.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.84

SJS: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	24	19	5	79.2%	1.85	0	-3.15
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	41	34	7	82.9%	4.59	4	-2.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	NSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	NSH
2026-04-04	SJS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	SJS
2026-03-24	NSH 6 - 3 SJS	NSH	NSH
2025-03-11	SJS 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	SJS
2025-01-23	SJS 5 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	13	0	0.64
1	SJS	11	0	0.50
2	NSH	21	2	1.92
2	SJS	11	0	0.86
3	NSH	20	2	2.04
3	SJS	15	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 7 - 5 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9